(Events from December 21-27)
A Military Response: While President Museveni’s new dedication to resolving this war is encouraging (*Remember, Museveni has given the LRA a deadline of January 31 to come to a peace deal), his threat of military action has some worried. A senior analyst with the Africa Policy Institute has reported that Museveni has recently been in talks with neighboring countries in Africa’s Great Lakes region (consisting of Burundi, Democratic Republic of Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda) about forcefully responding to armed groups in the region. With the Great Lakes region warming to the idea of armed responses to rebel groups, Museveni is feeling more confident about his military solution to the conflict. But Uganda’s past history shows that fighting only brings more fighting, and the people in the North worry that ultimatums and strict deadlines may only undermine the efforts of the peace process. People are asking, why resolve on a military response when the Juba peace talks are showing so many signs of progress? To read more about Museveni’s actions, go here.
The Situation of the Displaced: According to the UN humanitarian report for November, only 4% of IDPs in the Acholi region have returned home. Most of those that remain say they won’t leave until the peace agreement is final. While the prospect of peace is higher than it’s ever been, those in the Acholi reason are wary of believing anything until a final resolution is signed. Peace has been on their doorstep too many times in the past to only be taken away. Concerns for the people remain to be security, lack of good education and medical facilities, increasing levels of crime, lack of police presence, gender-based violence, etc.
Christmas in Acholiland: Over the holiday season, the Uganda Peoples Defence Forces (UPDF) have heightened security in the war-affected regions. Last week the Chairman of Gulu’s Local District Council Walter Ochora reported that Joseph Kony was preparing new attacks. And while Ochora’s sources have not been verified, the UPDF has been put on high alert until intelligence reports prove otherwise. Read more about heightened security during the Christmas season here.
LRA Raids Catholic Mission in Congo: After nearly two years of living in Congolese territory without attacking, on December 16 LRA rebels attacked the town of Duru near the border of Sudan robbing a local mission and hospital and temporarily taking an Italian priest hostage. Though no one was killed, the attack sent thousands of the local population fleeing and has caused deep unrest in the community. The unexpected attack comes just after peacekeepers and government officials have put new pressure on the rebels. With the looting of supplies and medicine, this raid could potentially mean that the rebels are preparing for another offensive and getting ready for war. So what does this mean for the peace talks? Unfortunately with the death of Vincent Otti, the LRA’s former second in command, the chances of coming to a peaceful resolution have grown smaller. Otti was one of the main liaisons between the government and the LRA and definitely had a stronger desire for peace than Kony. And while this doesn’t necessarily mean the peace talks will fail, Kony has already accused President Museveni of jeopardizing the process, which will make peaceful resolution an uphill battle. To read more about these important developments, go here.